CFD Trading Strategy - Rising Channel Upside Breakout
The rising channel is a well known chart pattern that you would expect to trade on the short side, but can also be traded if it breaks out to the upside. A rising channel is formed when the price action is contained within two lines. Both the bottom line and the top line slope up, with both lines near to parallel.
Rising Channel, Ok To Trade
Rising channels are normally patterns that would be considered to trade on the short side, but also can perform on the upside. 51% of the patterns break upwards and can deliver good returns when they do. The average gain is 0.53% in 8 days with under half of the breakouts (40%) being profitable. There are better patterns to trade on the long side, but selecting the right conditions can make trading a rising channel attractive.
Improve Your Trades
When you look at the performance of a rising channel in bearish market conditions you will see the results were not as strong as they were in more bullish years. Trading a rising channel when the market is in an up trend or consolidating improves your trading results. The sector is best if it is in an up trend or a down trend, while the stock is ideally in a down trend or a consolidation. So in effect you are entering a retracement in the stock during a bullish market phase.
Avoid trading rising channel patterns that are very tall where the height of the pattern is more than 10% of the stock price. Patterns that take longer than 40 days to form also perform poorly. Better results are also achieved if the pattern does not form around one large candle, from top to bottom of the pattern.
Rising channel with two highs, lows or closes at the same price should be avoided, as this usually occurs in an illiquid stock. If the volume supports the breakout the results are better. Supportive volume means the volume on the way up is higher than the volume on the way down.
Rising Channels Can Deliver Good Profits
By following some simple rules the profitability of trading rising channels can be improved substantially. With an average return per trade of four times the base level at 2.11% in 10 days and a hit rate of 63% rising channel can be traded very successfully when the conditions are right. These filters dramatically reduce the number of trades that can be taken from over 2000 down to just under 100, so it a small subset of the rising channels that produce the best results.
Note: Statistics for this article have been provided by Patterns Trader after analyzing over 60,000 chart patterns on the Australian market from 2000 - 2008. - 23159
Rising Channel, Ok To Trade
Rising channels are normally patterns that would be considered to trade on the short side, but also can perform on the upside. 51% of the patterns break upwards and can deliver good returns when they do. The average gain is 0.53% in 8 days with under half of the breakouts (40%) being profitable. There are better patterns to trade on the long side, but selecting the right conditions can make trading a rising channel attractive.
Improve Your Trades
When you look at the performance of a rising channel in bearish market conditions you will see the results were not as strong as they were in more bullish years. Trading a rising channel when the market is in an up trend or consolidating improves your trading results. The sector is best if it is in an up trend or a down trend, while the stock is ideally in a down trend or a consolidation. So in effect you are entering a retracement in the stock during a bullish market phase.
Avoid trading rising channel patterns that are very tall where the height of the pattern is more than 10% of the stock price. Patterns that take longer than 40 days to form also perform poorly. Better results are also achieved if the pattern does not form around one large candle, from top to bottom of the pattern.
Rising channel with two highs, lows or closes at the same price should be avoided, as this usually occurs in an illiquid stock. If the volume supports the breakout the results are better. Supportive volume means the volume on the way up is higher than the volume on the way down.
Rising Channels Can Deliver Good Profits
By following some simple rules the profitability of trading rising channels can be improved substantially. With an average return per trade of four times the base level at 2.11% in 10 days and a hit rate of 63% rising channel can be traded very successfully when the conditions are right. These filters dramatically reduce the number of trades that can be taken from over 2000 down to just under 100, so it a small subset of the rising channels that produce the best results.
Note: Statistics for this article have been provided by Patterns Trader after analyzing over 60,000 chart patterns on the Australian market from 2000 - 2008. - 23159
About the Author:
Jeff Cartridge is a private trader and created the website LearnCFDs.com Discover Patterns of Success

