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Monday, November 16, 2009

Logic In Investment Strategies

By Gnifrus Urquart

I've been trading stocks and forex all my life. One thing I gradually became aware of during this experience was that the strategies which make the most logical sense typically are the ones which work the best.

There are so many investment strategies I get offered I could probably spend 2 life times working through them all. And a small fortune working out which ones don't work. What I have found though is you can short cut this process simply by looking logically at them. Quite often when you robustly go through the logic of an investment strategy you will find holes in it. And big holes too, holes that will make you lose your money.

Most strategies presented to you will make sense. They have to or you would disregard them as nonsense. This is not what I am talking about though. The concern discussed in this article is logical completeness. If a strategy does not cover all possible scenarios you may come across, it will not take long before you find one of those scenarios. And when you do find a scenario which is not covered by your strategy, all of a sudden you need to make decisions outside the strategy. You will probably be left scratching your head or guessing.

Personally I think that making decisions like this, decisions which are outside the logic of an investment or trading strategy, is gambling. Its not a good situation. Sure you may make money with this gamble, but you could lose it too. Its no different than blackjack. A robust and complete trading strategy should take these gambles away from you. There should be no guesses. You should just plan the trade and then trade the plan.

Also, the point about trialing a strategy is that you are finding out whether it will make consistent returns over the fullness of time. The point about trading a strategy is that you know it makes consistent returns over the fullness of time. If you have had a guess mid way through the strategy, you cannot be confident its the strategy or your guess which is making the money. You will need to start again.

So if someone presents you a trading strategy, go through the logic with a fine tooth comb. See if you can come up with scenarios which may happen in real life, which the strategy deos not cover. If you can think of some, try to get answers for these scenarios before you start trading with real money. Because believe me, if such scenarios exist, as soon as you put money down they will come up. I think 2007 - 2009 taught us all that.

And once you have covered off every situation you can think of, always remember to execute a preliminary trading exercise without putting money down. Spend a few months running the strategy in spreadsheets before you trade with money. You'll be amazed at the real life situations which come your way which you'd never have dreamed of. And you will thank your stars you resolved these issues when you had nothing on the line. - 23159

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Do Currency Trading Robots Work?

By Dirk Andersen

IF you're looking to find something and you want it to be the best it can be, you'll need something more than mere luck. Only careful, thorough research will get you the best of anything you're looking for. Only research will tell you what to get, how much it could cost and where to find it. And if you're looking for the best system to use to invest in the Forex market, you won't find it anywhere unless you do your research.

The first step in your research should be to read online reviews from several different perspectives. As you read, try to find a common element in all the articles so that you can formulate your own conclusions. You'll see as you read that these articles run the gamut from those written by experts to those written by amateurs who know next to nothing about how to trade in the Forex market. They may not even know anything, for instance, about something as basic as robot systems.

It was once extremely difficult for the average person to trade in the currency markets in days gone by. Now, technology has made it easier than ever before. Anybody can do it even if they might not know as much as they should. How is this possible? Through software programs called trading robots. But while trading robots can be extremely helpful to the average Joe in making a currency trade, there are so many programs out there these days that you might not find it easy to decide which one is the best for you.

The Forex currency market is one of the most popular forms of investment in the world. Just about anybody can invest in this market thanks to its high degree of liquidity. People can make huge fortunes almost overnight, but they can also lose everything they've got. This is one reason why so many turn to trading robots like Forex MegaDroid, IvyBot, FAP Turbo and Rebellion.

Want to get into the Forex currency market? If so, you must carefully decide what robot trading system works best for you. What's the best way to do this? You need more than mere luck. It takes research, research, research! The decision you make could spell the difference between astonishing success and financial ruin. - 23159

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What You Need To Know When Setting Your Trading And Investing Goals

By Sam McNeill

What's the best way to go about setting your trading or investing goals? Well, as with most goal setting in your life it involves two important elements: perceived difficulty, and how specific you are in stating your goal. These two elements play an important part in attaining your goals.

The more difficult a goal is to achieve and the more specific the goal is, the more likely you are to raise your performance level to achieve the goal. Now, this doesn't mean that you will automatically achieve the goal because it is difficult and specific, it means that with these two elements in place you are more likely to produce high performance which in turn will produce the best overall results.

So with a trading/investing goal example to earn $50,000 for the year, a more difficult and specific goal may be $51,600. If your brain perceives $51,600 yearly earning as a more specific goal than $50,000 yearly earning then you are more likely to raise your performance to achieve your goal of $51,600.

Setting difficult and specific goals provide a better outcome than setting goals you know are easily attainable. So, if you believe that you can comfortably achieve $51,600 through your trading, then raise the level to something more challenging like $72,400.

Don't be unrealistic though, as you are more likely to perform if you believe you can achieve your goal. Base your goal on your knowledge, training, skills and past experiences. If you know it can happen, that you can make it happen, then your performance can increase.

If you believe that achieving your goal is important you will be more committed to making it happen. If you can measure how you are progressing towards your goal, then you can measure how well you are performing. This serve to strengthen your commitment to attaining your goal and progress results.

Seeing progress in share trading can be from something as straight forward as a running tally of your earnings year to date. You want to earn $72,400 from your trading this year. You see yourself at $38,100 in July and you know you are well on your way based upon simple arithmetic.

Often when we start off in trading/investing we do not set goals. Often we're just happy to see ourselves make some money. This unfortunately is not specific or difficult - it is not going to challenge or focus your performance.

Think about your trading goals. Set yourself some specific, difficult and measurable trading goals and understand why you want to achieve them. Then start measuring your progress.

Kevin Hogan discusses in his textbook "The Psychology of Persuasion", the idea of "the least acceptable result" and how this is the goal that most people will achieve from any activity. What is your trading or investing least acceptable result? Don't let this be your goal, set your trading/investing goal today and raise your performance and watch the results. - 23159

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Getting the Price Right for Success in Real Estate Sales

By Jason Myers

Real estate investing usually entails selling at some time. This cost setting is what will identify how quickly the home will sell. But how do you get this cost right?

For majority of home sellers, enlisting of the correct cost is dependent on how much they think the house is worth. But as it has been determined with this process, the odds of getting it right are slim to zero. Sure, the laws of probability guarantee you a shot in making it right by sheer approximation but that just about never occurs.

For the greatest deal, you are required to do one thing, and that is a home inspection. You must get the services of a professional to make the cost estimate of the home and report to you with it. That will offer you the edge of pricing the home. These people are so precise in their dealings and with all considerations being made, like the recent trends in the real estate market, they will offer you an almost precise figure of just how much your house is valued inside and out.

There are some instances wherein you may not be happy with the figure, but you are more than welcome to make enhancements that will increase the amount to a higher number that you can be contented with. You may invest in renovating the house, redoing the paint jobs and replacing a thing or two, until you think like the general value has increased.

The second thing you can do is to wait till the house selling period arrives, but with the unpredictable financial rotations, you would not be assured of that really occurring.

When marketing your house, you must not even think about contending with foreclosed homes since their costs are way cheaper and efforts to match them would only bring about loss. - 23159

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Forex Trading: On Automated Mode

By Danielle Deray



Discipline according to the Forex experts is a vital part of the trading business. People who are disciplined still does what they shall do despite the fluctuating trends of the market. The birth of automated forex trading system has changed the face of the trading industry. For savvy traders, this automated program could give you great benefits.

Newbie Forex traders, be warned that majority of the online trading systems are useless and junk. These methods aren't tested on the real world yet. Instead, the tactics are tested on a simulated environment and packed with hyped marketing strategies. Utilizing this junk trading methods will put your investment to waste.

Despite the number of online Forex trading scams, there are still effective Forex robot from the Internet. Keep in mind that simpler systems are easier to manipulate and execute. Hence, the complex ones are difficult. You see, complex and pricey system does not mean they can guarantee you success every time.

Here's an example, you know that a certain currency will be maintaining its top spot for four consecutive weeks. Hence, you buy it. On the other hand, if the currency you are rooting for is about to plummet down, you sell it. This method that depends on the highs and lows of the Forex market is known as breakout. With a little more experience, you can work on the market's big trends too.

Big trends usually last for several weeks, months, or even years. Take a look at the Forex chart and study it. The whole system is automatic and the rules are quite objective. This system is also known as a Forex robot and it can operate fifteen minutes everyday. The creator of this Forex robot was Richard Donchian, a Forex trader.

If you want a simple system, the Forex robot may work for you. Traders who prefer complex trading systems often expect more from this system and so they would rather opt for another system which can meet their expectations. The Forex robot is not fussy and it can help you in identifying the top picks and the bottom picks.

Traders who succeed in this trading industry spends ample time and effort before they make any decisions. Wise traders do not rush things, they allow the system to work on its own. The notion that complex and pricey systems are more effective is just a myth. If you are a serious trader you can earn profits with minimal efforts.

Do a little research and observe the market. If you think the Forex robot fills your need as well as the market's need, feel free to try it. The robot is logical, simple and consistent, making it easier for you to work. There are automated systems that you can download for free if you want to check it out. To find the proper system, do a background check. Read the ratings and reviews from the current and past users of the Forex system.

Our era is a far cry from the world we have years ago. A lot of our manual works have been replaced by automated machines. So, if you want an automated system, you may replace the effort and time you spend with this Forex robot. It is a method that works in the long run, allowing you to save great money. To know more about Richar Donchian, the author of this sytem, you may simple search his work online. - 23159

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